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By Richard Sokolsky

This file makes an attempt to place the Caspian Basin and crucial Asia right into a entire strategic point of view at a time whilst NATO is more and more keen on demanding situations on its outer edge. The authors study NATO's pursuits, functions, and constraints in addition to th e salient traits and components shaping the nearby protection atmosphere. despite the region's power power riches and the jockeying for impact between significant powers and oil pursuits, the authors recommend that NATO may still see the area as a possible quagmire instead of as a vacuum ready to be crammed. The file discusses Western pursuits and pursuits in the Caspian, inner and intraregional threats to Western pursuits, the contest for impact between outdoors powers, transnational threats, Caspian oil and effort protection, and implications for NATO and Western coverage and making plans. The authors finish that the West has restricted pursuits

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Extra resources for Nato and Caspian Security: A Mission Too Far 1999

Sample text

The countries of the Caspian region and Central Asia have likewise reached out to NATO to bolster their security and reduce their dependence on Russia. In particular, Azerbaijan and Georgia have launched a major campaign to expand their military and security relationships with the Alliance. Azerbaijan has invited the United States, NATO, or Turkey to establish a military base on Azeri territory and has hinted that Azerbaijan should be considered for NATO membership for its role as a bulwark against Russian expansionism.

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The fragmentation of Kazakhstan, should it occur, would have geopolitical significance. If a Russian-dominated northern Kazakhstan should break away from the rest of the republic, the balance of power in the region would certainly shift dramatically. 12 Kazakhstan also might become so weak as to become irrelevant, leaving Uzbekistan as the sole regional Central Asian power. The promise of oil revenues has regional as well as domestic implications. Significant revenues have the potential to change the strategic calculations among adversaries, such as Azerbaijan and Armenia, tempting Azerbaijan to launch a military challenge to the fragile status quo.

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